2025 CFB Head Coach Grades: SEC
This is a series of data-driven scoring and grading of each head coach for the 2025-26 college football season.
We are embarking on a ‘coach grading’ journey at CFBDepth that we hope provides a data-driven look at the performance of each hired coach in their role for the season. We’ll start with the head coaches, then look at the coordinators/play-callers, and move into the position coaches.
We’ll begin with an explanation of the metrics we use to create our head coach ‘scores’, which are then normalized against their peers and assigned a grade (A-F).
The head coach is the CEO of the football program. Ultimately, the best way to grade a head coach is how they performed on the field. There is more to it than just the win-loss record. We will take a look at the following metrics to gauge each:
Performance vs. Expectation — we will look at how each school performed against the expectations that were set forth before the season began. This rewards coaches who delivered more than was generally expected at the high level (seasonal performance) and at a more granular level (weekly performance against the spread, cumulated). We will compare the Las Vegas preseason win total expectation with the team’s final dWIN total. Finally, we’ll look at how they finished in their conference standings to add another easy look at the 2025 performance.
Talent Acquisition — it’s rather important to both attract and retain talent. We’ll look at how each coach (and their staff) performed in the portal churn rankings from a year ago and in recruiting.
Toss-Up Record — good head coaches find a way to get wins in the ‘toss-ups,’ which we define as any game with a 4.5-point spread going either way.
Close Games — good head coaches also find a way to win the close games. We’ll look at any games decided by one score (+/- 6.5) and exclude any ‘let down’ performances in which they were double-digit favorites. They shouldn’t get credit for squeaking out a win that they should have handled easily.
After Bye Performance — we will give a little bonus for head coaches who seem to utilize the bye week and perform. We will review the weighted spread numbers for those two games after the off-weeks.
‘Upset’ bonus — any games they coaxed a win as a double-digit underdog.
‘Let down’ malus — any games lost as a double-digit favorite.
Note: It’s fitting to give any coach who was fired during the season an “F” grade. Even if you think it was unfair, if they were let go by their institution and likely paid a handsome buyout, they did not live up to expectations.
We will also rank all head coaches who began the 2025 season as the head coach. We will release the grades and fill out the 1-136 rankings by conference over the coming weeks, beginning with the SEC today…
So, let’s go!
A quick plug for the “The Year That Was: 2025-26” magazine that we are actively working on. This is a data-driven, almanac-style publication to relive the year on and off the field. It’s a must-have for true college football fans. Release: Early April.
2025 SEC Head Coach Grades
Here is a data-driven look at the 16 SEC head coaches entering the 2025-26 season with hopes of taking the next step. Some on the ‘warming seat’ were ultimately shown the door with five (5) coaches fired during the season.
A+
Clark Lea, Vanderbilt Commodores
48.7 points; 10th / 136
The only SEC coach who receives an A+ grade is the one who is well on his way to fulfilling a promise once laughed at. His declaration in 2022 that he and his staff would build the Vanderbilt program into the top program in the country was widely mocked. But here we are. His program just missed out on the CFP, which would have certainly been fun to see how all-everything QB Diego Pavia and this underdog collection would have fared. We’ll be left to wonder what could have been, but the job Lea did in 2025 will not be scrutinized.
Final Record: 10-3 (6-2)
Performance vs. Expectation:
Vegas projected win total = 4.5 vs. dWIN = 9.3 (+4.8) Rank: 1st / 136
wSPREAD = +100.5; Rank: 6th / 136
Talent Acquisition:
Portal Churn Rank (Overall) = 53rd / 136 — (SEC) = 4th / 16
Recruiting Class Rank (Overall) = 80th / 136 — (SEC) = 16th / 16
Toss-Up Record: 5-1
Close Game Record: 0-1
Upsets: 0
Let Downs: 0
A
Lane Kiffin, Ole Miss Rebels
42.4 points; 16th / 136
We’ll have to separate the Lane Kiffin of moral conduct from the Lane Kiffin, the really good head football coach, for this one. We won’t spend time discussing the unprecedented decision to leave a program in the midst of a CFP run to take a new job; rather, we'll focus on the job he did in Oxford in 2025. He’s known for his ability to attract talent (primarily via the portal), and you’ll see that reflected in the grades/ranks below. He needed to take the next step and demonstrate he could avoid the letdown game that inevitably derails many great seasons. He did just that. He led the Rebels to the Playoffs and then handed the reins and was forced to sit and watch his team play three more games.
Final Record: 11-1 (7-1) — did not coach three CFP games
Performance vs. Expectation:
Vegas projected win total = 8.5 vs. dWIN = 10.1 (+1.6) Rank: 28th / 136
wSPREAD = +17.5; Rank: 58th / 136
Talent Acquisition:
Portal Churn Rank (Overall) = 12th / 136 — (SEC) = 2nd / 16
Recruiting Class Rank (Overall) = 47th / 136 — (SEC) = 15th / 16
Toss-Up Record: 1-0
Close Game Record: 2-0
Upsets: 0
Let Downs: 0
A
Mike Elko, Texas A&M
39.8 points; 20th / 136
Elko’s second season was a success despite an abrupt ending: a home loss to Miami in the CFP first round. That is a loss that eased in vitriol as the Hurricanes continued their run to within grasp of taking home the National Championship. The fact that the season ended with a home game in the CFP is a step in the right direction, though at places like A&M, that expectation now becomes winning the CFP. It’s a little surprising to see that the pre-season win total from Vegas was just 7.5, and a 10.5 dWIN fuels this grade. Elko has not played the portal game to its maximum effect yet, but the simple fact that it didn’t derail anything shows there is talent to give away without impacting the on-field product. They split their ‘toss-ups’ — beating LSU in Baton Rouge 49-25, but losing their rivalry game in the final week to Texas in Austin, 27-17. They managed to win all three of their one-score games. All of that contributes to an ‘A’ grade for 2025 for Elko, who has this program back where it needs to be.
Final Record: 11-2 (7-1)
Performance vs. Expectation:
Vegas projected win total = 7.5 vs. dWIN = 10.5 (+3.0) Rank: 11th / 136
wSPREAD = -3.5; Rank: 76th / 136
Talent Acquisition:
Portal Churn Rank (Overall) = 126th / 136 — (SEC) = 14th / 16
Recruiting Class Rank (Overall) = 14th / 136 — (SEC) = 8th / 16
Toss-Up Record: 1-1
Close Game Record: 3-0
Upsets: 0
Let Downs: 0
A
Kirby Smart, Georgia Bulldogs
39.3 points; 22nd / 136
The great Georgia coach had another solid season, but by the lofty standards that he helped set, it was a let down. Losing to a Lane Kiffin-less Ole Miss squad in the CFP is not quite what Dawgs fans had in mind. A consideration for Smart is that nobody takes a loss like that harder than himself. They did win the SEC Championship (over Alabama) and that’s not nothing — but it certainly has lost some luster from years prior as the positioning for the bye week hasn’t been the route to success in the first two seasons of the expanded 12-team Playoff format. Smart and his staff still recruit at the highest level and the talent churn in the portal is more of a light shone of the amount of talent they have accumulated and just don’t have the snaps to share with everyone. They avenged their only loss of the regular season in that SEC Championship Game in Atlanta — but were unable to kick it into gear come CFP time. Another ‘A’ season for one of the best in the business — but there is a ‘plus’ left out on the table.
Final Record: 12-2 (7-1)
Performance vs. Expectation:
Vegas projected win total = 9.5 vs. dWIN = 9.7 (+0.2) Rank: 60th / 136
wSPREAD = +38; Rank: 36th / 136
Talent Acquisition:
Portal Churn Rank (Overall) = 111th / 136 — (SEC) = 11th / 16
Recruiting Class Rank (Overall) = 1st / 136 — (SEC) = 1st / 16
Toss-Up Record: 2-1
Close Game Record: 2-1
Upsets: 0
Let Downs: 0
B+
Brent Venables, Oklahoma Sooners
34.3 points; 36th / 136
Venables needed a statement season and he got it. He addressed the offensive woes that held the Sooners back in 2025, by getting a QB/OC combination from Pullman, Washington, in John Mateer and Ben Arbuckle. They certainly had their moments, but in the SEC, you have to be special to consistently put up video game numbers. Still, they did enough to qualify for the playoff and took an early (gifted) lead in the first round playoff game against Alabama. That turned into a pumpkin in the second half and the Tide rolled to eliminate the Sooners from contention. The loss in Red River and to Ole Miss at home was a mid-season lull that could have done them in — but BVenables eas able to get a dual ‘toss-up’ and ‘close’ win against Tennessee in Knoxville in week ten to bring them back into the conversation. They then won two more close ones, sneaking by Alabama in Tuscaloosa in week 12 and LSU by just four points in the finale at home.
Final Record: 10-3 (6-2)
Performance vs. Expectation:
Vegas projected win total = 7.5 vs. dWIN = 8.1 (+0.6) Rank: 49th / 136
wSPREAD = +6; Rank: 67th / 136
Talent Acquisition:
Portal Churn Rank (Overall) = 123rd / 136 — (SEC) = 13th / 16
Recruiting Class Rank (Overall) = 17th / 136 — (SEC) = 9th / 16
Toss-Up Record: 2-1
Close Game Record: 2-0
Upsets: 0
Let Downs: 0
B+
Kalen DeBoer, Alabama Crimson Tide
33.2 points; 39th / 136
DeBoer’s situation remains unfair. He guided the Crimson Tide to the CFP in his second year and won a game, in come-from-behind fashion against Oklahoma. Yet, this feels like a lost season once again. Why? The expectations of more. That won’t be going anywhere soon, so the blowout loss to Indiana at the Rose Bowl is what everybody will remember. They did lose four games, which is four different opportunities to point out where DeBoer and his staff failed, despite overall success. The opener against what ended up being another mediocre (at best) Florida State team remains the head-scratcher from this slate. They avenged their loss to the Sooners from week 12 by overcoming a rough start and overwhelming OU in the first round CFP game. The loss to Georgia in the SEC Championship game was just another narrative point. It certainly doesn’t feel like a “B+” season for DeBoer, but when you make the playoff and win a game, it’s difficult to reason that it was much worse than that (if we are being reasonable).
Final Record: 11-4 (7-1)
Performance vs. Expectation:
Vegas projected win total = 9.5 vs. dWIN = 8.1 (-1.4) Rank: 87th / 136
wSPREAD = -10; Rank: 84th / 136
Talent Acquisition:
Portal Churn Rank (Overall) = 132nd / 136 — (SEC) = 15th / 16
Recruiting Class Rank (Overall) = 8th / 136 — (SEC) = 6th / 16
Toss-Up Record: 2-0
Close Game Record: 2-1
Upsets: 0
Let Downs: 1 — Week 1 at Florida State (loss, 31-17) as a 13.5-point favorite
C+
Eliah Drinkwitz, Missouri Tigers
24.2 points; tied-67th / 136
The Tigers were almost a full two games better than expectations from the start of the season. The unknown at the quarterback position was the big question mark coming in. It turns out, they didn’t hit there and still found a way to win eight games (earning slightly more from the dWIN metric). He continues to play the portal game efficiently — and it was the defense that salvaged the season as the big pick-up, QB Beau Pribula from Penn State, was just okay. He dominated the weaker early competition and then struggled against the SEC slate before injuries further sidelined him. That Alabama game in Columbia in week seven was the key. They fell by three points at home in a game that, had they won, would have put them at 6-0 and likely well into the top ten in the country. Confidence is a big part of this thing. They wound up falling to Vanderbilt in Nashville by a touchdown two weeks later and then were never really ‘in’ the A&M or Oklahoma games. We talk a lot about expectations in these recaps and the Tigers’ administration tipped their hand a bit to that in Drinkwitz’ new contract. He gets an ‘automatic rolling extension’ each time they win eight regular season games. There you go.
Final Record: 8-5 (4-4)
Performance vs. Expectation:
Vegas projected win total = 6.5 vs. dWIN = 8.4 (+1.9) Rank: 22nd / 136
wSPREAD = -9; Rank: 82nd / 136
Talent Acquisition:
Portal Churn Rank (Overall) = 42nd / 136 — (SEC) = 3rd / 16
Recruiting Class Rank (Overall) = 17th / 136 — (SEC) = 9th / 16
Toss-Up Record: 2-2
Close Game Record: 1-1
Upsets: 0
Let Downs: 0
C+
Jeff Lebby, Mississippi State Bulldogs
24.2 points; tied-67th / 136
One of our pre-season darlings heading into the season, it was time for Lebby to take a step forward in his second season in Starkville. It was driven by the work done in the portal, which had a churn ranking of 7th in the nation. They were still only expected to get to 3-4 wins and they ended up at five. Our dWIN metric suggests those were earned and could have been higher. They finished just 1-7 in SEC play, losing a two-point decision to Florida in the Swamp. That exciting win over Arizona State back in week two was one for the books and certainly aged well. It was a step in the right direction, but certainly didn’t rise to ‘breakout’ level success. A C+ grade seems like a reasonable assessment for the 2025 Bulldogs.
Final Record: 5-8 (1-7)
Performance vs. Expectation:
Vegas projected win total = 3.5 vs. dWIN = 5.2 (+1.7) Rank: 23rd / 136
wSPREAD = -5.5; Rank: 77th / 136
Talent Acquisition:
Portal Churn Rank (Overall) = 7th / 136 — (SEC) = 1st / 16
Recruiting Class Rank (Overall) = 39th / 136 — (SEC) = 14th / 16
Toss-Up Record: 0-0
Close Game Record: 2-1
Upsets: 0
Let Downs: 0
C+
Steve Sarkisian, Texas Longhorns
23.5 points; 69th / 136
This one is almost all about expectations. The Longhorns were supposed to be in the mix for the National Title — in fact, many had them as the odds-on favorite as the season kicked off. Tons of talent on both sides of the ball and now it just needed to be managed properly through a gauntlet of a schedule. Even one or two slip-ups would have kept them in a position to make the CFP and make a run at a title. After the understandable week one loss at the Horseshoe against the reigning National Champion Buckeyes, they sustained a week six loss to Florida, which really put the season in the crosshairs. They snuck by both Kentucky and Vanderbilt by three points before the season was ended in Athens, Georgia, going away, dropping a 35-10 decision. Their dWIN number of 7.9 was way down from the 9.5 expected win total going into the season. They also were a -40 in the overall spread performance throughout the season. They did reload with another top five recruiting class, so the talent acquisition didn’t take a hit — now, that just needs to be cultivated into wins and that elusive National Championship run.
Final Record: 10-3 (6-2)
Performance vs. Expectation:
Vegas projected win total = 9.5 vs. dWIN = 7.9 (-1.6) Rank: 94th / 136
wSPREAD = -40; Rank: 104th / 136
Talent Acquisition:
Portal Churn Rank (Overall) = 91st / 136 — (SEC) = 10th / 16
Recruiting Class Rank (Overall) = 3rd / 136 — (SEC) = 2nd / 16
Toss-Up Record: 3-1
Close Game Record: 1-0
Upsets: 0
Let Downs: 0
C
Josh Heupel, Tennessee Volunteers
11.6 points; 95th / 136
The Nico Iamaleava drama set the stage for what would be a lost year for Heupel in Knoxville. His standing up to the star player was admirable, but it did not help the on-field product. Overall, they beat most expectations, especially when you look at the dWIN total of 9.7, compared to the eight wins posted. They added the 27th best number cumulative ATS (less garbage time). It was the inability to win the close games and dropping the ‘toss ups’. It also points out how close they were to still coaxing a plus-season out of this. It wasn’t just Iamaleava though, as there was a discouraging number of talent that left the program and while their replacement at quarterback, Joey Aguilar from Appalachian State was solid — they didn’t bring in enough in return to have the firepower to tip the scales and win those SEC battles that make or break a season.
Final Record: 8-5 (4-4)
Performance vs. Expectation:
Vegas projected win total = 8.5 vs. dWIN = 9.7 (+1.2) Rank: 35th / 136
wSPREAD = +55.5; Rank: 27th / 136
Talent Acquisition:
Portal Churn Rank (Overall) = 136th / 136 — (SEC) = 16th / 16
Recruiting Class Rank (Overall) = 5th / 136 — (SEC) = 4th / 16
Toss-Up Record: 1-3
Close Game Record: 0-2
Upsets: 0
Let Downs: 0
D+
Shane Beamer, South Carolina Gamecocks
10.0 points; 100th / 136
This was rough. Beamer continues to identify and develop talent. Unfortunately, he continues to do so seemingly for other programs. He isn’t able to keep those players in Columbia (for the most part). They are having to pick and choose who they want to keep around. The obvious choice is/was star QB LaNorris Sellers. He needed a (big) bag and that cut into the resources for the rest of the roster. Coming into this season, the hopes were high. They were one of the SEC squads in middle, holding a 7.5 win expectancy and coming up with just four of them. They lost the two games considered “toss-ups” — by a combined 38 points (Vanderbilt in week 3; Clemson in week 14). Things started great with a rather smothering win over Virginia Tech in week one — only to find out that the Hokies were a complete dumpster fire. The win over Kentucky in week five serves as the only bright spot in a rough season. Even the one-point loss to A&M in College Station, which is an impressive outcome considering they were 17.5-point underdogs — was marred by a complete second-half collapse. Beamer can’t afford another one of these.
Final Record: 4-8 (1-7)
Performance vs. Expectation:
Vegas projected win total = 7.5 vs. dWIN = 4.4 (-3.1) Rank: 122nd / 136
wSPREAD = -8.5; Rank: 80th / 136
Talent Acquisition:
Portal Churn Rank (Overall) = 89th / 136 — (SEC) = 8th / 16
Recruiting Class Rank (Overall) = 27th / 136 — (SEC) = 11th / 16
Toss-Up Record: 0-2
Close Game Record: 0-1
Upsets: 0
Let Downs: 0
F
Mark Stoops, Kentucky Wildcats
8.6 points; 102nd / 136
We’ve reached the firing line. We’ll start with Stoops, who is the only one who made it through the full season, but was ultimately fired after 13 seasons at the helm in Lexington. The expectation was low (4.5 Vegas expected wins), but that’s the problem. Even when you exceed expectations, if you allow that bar to be lowered this far, it’s enough of an indictment to get rid of you. It’s also just time for a rejuvenation of a program that stalled out. Stoops did a good job here — it just ran its course. He was able to pull off an upset of Auburn on the Plains in week ten, which ended Hugh Freeze’s run there. They followed that up with a dominant win over Florida in week 11 (38-7). They only lost to Texas by three points in week eight. Had he not been fired — this grade would have been in the C to C+ range.
Final Record: 5-7 (2-6)
Performance vs. Expectation:
Vegas projected win total = 4.5 vs. dWIN = 5.6 (+1.1) Rank: 38th / 136
wSPREAD = -33; Rank: 97th / 136
Talent Acquisition:
Portal Churn Rank (Overall) = 69th / 136 — (SEC) = 7th / 16
Recruiting Class Rank (Overall) = 27th / 136 — (SEC) = 11th / 16
Toss-Up Record: 1-1
Close Game Record: 0-1
Upsets: 1 — week 10 win at Auburn, 10-3 as a 11.5-point underdog.
Let Downs: 0
F
Hugh Freeze, Auburn Tigers
-20.4 points; 126th / 136
Freeze made it through week ten, but a 10-3 loss at home to Kentucky was the last straw and on November 2nd, he was fired as head coach of the Auburn Tigers. He came into the season on the hot seat and needed a big season to re-solidify himself in this position. After a 38-24 win in week one on the road at Baylor, things were looking up. Once the SEC slate arrived, however, they quickly went south, leading to four straight losses and eventually the axe following what appeared to be the Tigers hitting rock bottom against the Wildcats.
Final Record: 5-7 (1-7) — the Tigers were 4-5 when he was fired
Performance vs. Expectation:
Vegas projected win total = 7.5 vs. dWIN = 6.0 (-1.5) Rank: 91st / 136
wSPREAD = -28.5; Rank: 94th / 136
Talent Acquisition:
Portal Churn Rank (Overall) = 55th / 136 — (SEC) = 6th / 16
Recruiting Class Rank (Overall) = 4th / 136 — (SEC) = 3rd / 16
Toss-Up Record: 2-2
Close Game Record: 0-2
Upsets: 0
Let Downs: 1 — in the decisive week ten loss to Kentucky, the Tigers were an 11.5 point favorite.
F
Brian Kelly, LSU Tigers
-31.8 points; 127th / 136
The Tigers came into the season with heightened expectations, tempered slightly by some word of a lingering injury to QB Garrett Nussmeier. The catalyst on offense was certainly going to be healthy to fuel what many thought held the potential of a run at a National Title. Alas, things derailed quickly and Kelly was fired October 26th after a week nine loss to Texas A&M, 49-25, falling to 5-3 on the season. A battle ensued around the firing itself, as the LSU administration tried to make it ‘for cause’ and save a pretty buyout penny. That was not to be and Kelly departs a very rich man, but as a coach, he now has another black eye to content with if he plans to return to lead a program in the future.
Final Record: 7-6 (3-5) — Kelly was fired when the Tigers were 5-3 on the season.
Performance vs. Expectation:
Vegas projected win total = 8.5 vs. dWIN = 5.6 (-2.9) Rank: 118th / 136
wSPREAD = -49; Rank: 116th / 136
Talent Acquisition:
Portal Churn Rank (Overall) = 90th / 136 — (SEC) = 9th / 16
Recruiting Class Rank (Overall) = 12th / 136 — (SEC) = 7th / 16
Toss-Up Record: 2-3
Close Game Record: 1-2
Upsets: 0
Let Downs: 0
F
Billy Napier, Florida Gators
-40.7 points; 128th / 136
Nobody held the ‘warm/hot seat’ title longer than Napier. He really could not afford to lose to South Florida at home in week two at this point. The decision was likely made and the fund-raising began to begin the process of letting him go. This was completed and executed as it would happen after sneaking by Mississippi State week eight, 23-21. A bye week followed and the Gators would officially move on without their head coach. Even a week six impressive win over Texas was not enough to save him. He was officially fired on October 19th and now begins his next chapter at James Madison in 2026.
Final Record: 4-8 (1-7) — Napier had the Gators at just 3-4 on the season at the time of his firing.
Performance vs. Expectation:
Vegas projected win total = 7.5 vs. dWIN = 3.2 (-4.3) Rank: 134th / 136
wSPREAD = -74; Rank: 123rd / 136
Talent Acquisition:
Portal Churn Rank (Overall) = 122nd / 136 — (SEC) = 12th / 16
Recruiting Class Rank (Overall) = 7th / 136 — (SEC) = 5th / 16
Toss-Up Record: 1-2
Close Game Record: 1-1
Upsets: 0
Let Downs: 1 ——————-
F
Sam Pittman, Arkansas Razorbacks
-62.4 points; 134th / 136
Pittman was the first SEC coach fired this season, being let go basically at halftime of the Notre Dame loss in week five. On that late September day, the Razorbacks were trailing the Fighting Irish 42-13. His tenure as head coach was certainly under fire, but he held on a long as he could. They went with Bobby Petrino the rest of the way and the team continues to play close games, and losing them all. All told, they went 0-6 in those ‘close’ games decided by one score.
Final Record: 2-10 (0-8) — The Razorbacks were 2-3 at the time of Pittman’s firing.
Performance vs. Expectation:
Vegas projected win total = 5.5 vs. dWIN = 4.8 (-0.7) Rank: 73rd / 136
wSPREAD = -45.5; Rank: 113th / 136
Talent Acquisition:
Portal Churn Rank (Overall) = 54th / 136 — (SEC) = 5th / 16
Recruiting Class Rank (Overall) = 33rd / 136 — (SEC) = 13th / 16
Toss-Up Record: 0-4
Close Game Record: 0-6
Upsets: 0
Let Downs: 0
CFBDepth 2025 Head Coach Rankings (running)
Conferences added: SEC
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Clark Lea, Vanderbilt — 48.7 (A+)
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Lane Kiffin, Ole Miss — 42.4 (A)
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Mike Elko, Texas A&M — 39.8 points (A)
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Kirby Smart, Georgia — 39.3 points (A)
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Brent Venables, Oklahoma — 34.3 points (B+)
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Kalen DeBoer, Alabama — 33.2 points (B+)
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Eliah Drinkwitz, Missouri — 24.2 (C+)
Jeff Lebby, Mississippi State — 24.2 (C+)
Steve Sarkisian, Texas — 23.5 (C+)
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Josh Heupel, Tennessee — 11.6 points (C)
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Shane Beamer, South Carolina — 10.0 points (D+)
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Mark Stoops, Kentucky — 8.6 points (F)
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Hugh Freeze, Auburn — -20.4 points (F)
Brian Kelly, LSU — -31.8 points (F)
Billy Napier, Florida — -40.7 points (F)
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Sam Pittman, Arkansas — -62.4 points (F)
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